| SEMINAR ŞTIINŢIFIC MONEDA, FINANŢE, BĂNCI – SEMINAR ȘTIINȚIFIC |
For better and worse: heterogeneity in the fiscal response in EU countries
Marți, 17 Ianuarie 2023 – ora 17:00 – sala 3M3 (etaj 1, clădirea Moxa)
Andreea-Maria Stoian
ASE București, andreea.stoian@fin.ase.ro
Abstract:
In this paper, using a panel of annual observations ranging from 2005 to 2018, we employ the novel unconditional quantile regression by resorting to an augmented fiscal reaction function model to examine the distribution-varying fiscal response for 26 European Union countries. The results point to significant asymmetries regarding the fiscal response measured in terms of the cyclically adjusted primary balance to different covariates. More specifically, we report a U-shaped fiscal reaction to debt changes suggesting more explicit debt stabilization concerns during high-deficit periods. We also show a varying response when debt exceeds the 60% threshold, which is conditioned by the size of the fiscal position. In addition, we reveal a procyclical fiscal behaviour when balance is highly deteriorated.
Zoom: https://ase.zoom.us/j/88975840175?pwd=Q0ZnbHl0TjhqcEtzVnhMUWRmdWdPQT09
Passcode: 123456
Activitate de socializare: Începând cu ora 18:00: Thalia Victoriei
TBA
Marți, 28 Februarie 2023 – TBD